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Regular Martingales and Closable Martingales 📂Probability Theory

Regular Martingales and Closable Martingales

Definition

Let us assume a probability space (Ω,F,P)( \Omega , \mathcal{F} , P) and a martingale {(Xn,Fn)}\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ) \right\} are given.

  1. If for some integrable random variable η\eta, Xn=E(ηFn)X_{n} = E ( \eta | \mathcal{F}_{n} ) holds, then {(Xn,Fn)}\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ) \right\} is called a regular martingale.
  2. If there exists some integrable random variable XX_{\infty} that makes {(Xn,Fn):n=1,,}\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ): n = 1 , \cdots , \infty \right\} a martingale and if it is F\mathcal{F}_{\infty}-measurable, then {(Xn,Fn)}\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ) \right\} is called a closable martingale.

  • F=n=1Fn\displaystyle \mathcal{F}_{\infty} = \bigotimes_{n=1}^{\infty} \mathcal{F}_{n} does not mean a tensor product but the smallest sigma field that includes all elements of all filtrations Fn\mathcal{F}_{n}. It’s not particularly new; in fact, the smallest sigma field that contains all the open sets of a topological space Ω\Omega has been called a Borel sigma field. However, if that’s too difficult, it can simply be accepted as a sigma field that satisfies the condition of the filtration.

Explanation

  1. Considering E(E(ηFm)Fn)E \left( E ( \eta | \mathcal{F}_{m} ) | \mathcal{F}_{n} \right) η\eta for m>nm > n, since η\eta is Fn\mathcal{F}_{n}-measurable and FnFm\mathcal{F}_{n} \subset \mathcal{F}_{m}, due to the smoothing property, it becomes E(ηE(1Fm)Fn)=E(ηFn)=XnE \left( \eta E ( 1 | \mathcal{F}_{m} ) | \mathcal{F}_{n} \right) = E \left( \eta | \mathcal{F}_{n} \right) = X_{n}, hence a regular martingale {(Xn,Fn)}\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ) \right\} remains a martingale. Note here that mm is not n+1n+1 but any integer greater than nn.
  2. The notion of n=1,,n = 1 , \cdots , \infty, as always with infinity, looks simple but is not that easy. To verify that some F\mathcal{F}_{\infty}-measurable random variable XX_{\infty} exists such that {(Xn,Fn)}nN\left\{ ( X_{n} , \mathcal{F}_{n} ) \right\}_{n \in \overline{\mathbb{N}}} becomes a martingale is tantamount to confirming for all natural numbers nNn \in \mathbb{N} that E(XFn)=XnE \left( X_{\infty} | \mathcal{F}_{n} \right) = X_{n} holds.

Meanwhile, being a regular or a closable martingale is a necessary and sufficient condition. Closable martingales seem to have many useful properties, and regular martingales are easy to construct by proposing some η\eta, and their equivalence is quite fortunate as one might easily guess.

Theorem

  • [1]: If it is a regular martingale, then it is a uniformly integrable martingale.
  • [2]: If it is a uniformly integrable martingale, then it is an L1 convergent martingale.
  • [3]: If it is an L1 convergent martingale, then it is a closable martingale.
  • [4]: If it is a closable martingale, then it is a regular martingale.

Proof

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

Assuming η:=X\eta:= X_{\infty}, since Xn=E(XFn)X_{n} = E ( X_{\infty} | \mathcal{F}_{n} ) holds, it is a closable martingale.